Despite rising nearly 300 pips following the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) inaction, the USDJPY pair remains on the bear’s radar as it is yet to cross a four-month-long descending trend line resistance, around 131.10-15 by the press time. That said, the RSI’s rebound from the conditions also intraday buyers. It’s worth noting that the 50-DMA pierces the 200-DMA from above and portrays a bear cross on the daily chart, which in turn suggests the quote’s further downside unless the pair rises past the 200-DMA hurdle surrounding 136.65.
Alternatively, lows marked during May 2022 surrounding 126.35 precede the 125.00 threshold to challenge USDJPY bears, not to forget the oversold RSI conditions. In a case where the pair bears ignore RSI conditions and dominate past 125.00, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and the late March low, respectively around 122.45 and 121.30, could act as the last defenses of the buyers before directing them to the February 2022 bottom of 114.40.
Overall, the bear cross on the daily chart contrasts the BoJ’s inaction and keeps sellers hopeful.
