Despite the latest pullback from a 24-year high, the USDJPY remains inside a five-month-old megaphone formation suggesting a further widening of the uptrend. Even so, the overbought RSI (14) suggests a pullback of the yen pair, which in turn highlights a two-month-old horizontal support area surrounding 134.00-134.40. Following that, the 50-DMA and 100-DMA could test the pair sellers around 136.80 and 134.00 respectively. It’s worth noting that the stated megaphone’s lower line, near 132.40, appears the last defense for the pair buyers.
Meanwhile, recovery moves may initially aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the pair’s late March to early August moves, near 144.75, before challenging the megaphone’s top, close to 145.75. In a case where USDJPY bulls keep reins, the tops marked during the June and August months of 1998, close to 146.80 and 147.70 in that order, could probe the upside momentum towards the 150.00 psychological magnet.
Overall, a shift in the market sentiment isn’t a trend change and hence the bulls can keep control.
