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Denis Sergienko • 2022-07-11

USDJPY refreshes 24-year high but bulls have a bumpy road ahead

USDJPY refreshes 24-year high but bulls have a bumpy road ahead

USDJPY begins the week on a positive note by rising for six consecutive days to refresh the multi-year high. The yen pair, however, has limited upside room before hitting the key hurdles. The nearness to resistance joins almost oversold RSI to also challenge the buyers. That said, the upper line of the three-week-old bullish channel, near 137.35, appears the immediate hurdle to probing the upside moves. Following that, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of June 6-23 moves, near 137.50, could also restrict the quote’s advances. At last, the September 1998 top around 138.30 could act as the last defense for the pair sellers before recalling the 140.00 threshold back to the chart.

Meanwhile, the early July swing high near 136.35 and the 100-SMA level surrounding 135.50 might challenge the short-term sellers. In a case where the USDJPY prices drop below 135.50, the support line of the stated channel, close to 135.10, will be crucial to watch as a clear downside break of the same could direct the quote to direct bears towards the late June swing low near 134.25. It’s worth noting that a successful break of 134.25 won’t hesitate to recall the mid-June bottom surrounding 131.50.

Overall, USDJPY bulls have a bumpy road ahead and hence a pullback can’t be ruled out.

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