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Denis Sergienko • 2022-09-19

NZDUSD hovers above 0.5890 key support as the Fed week begins

NZDUSD hovers above 0.5890 key support as the Fed week begins

NZDUSD dropped to the lowest level since May 2020 before bouncing off 0.5940 on Friday. The recovery, however, remains unattractive as the Kiwi pair stays inside a six-week-old bearish channel. Even so, the oversold RSI conditions may allow short-term buyers to aim for 0.6100-10 resistance confluence, including the 21-DMA and the stated channel’s upper line. It’s worth noting that multiple lows marked during late July and early August could act as extra upside filters around 0.6220, a break of which could quickly propel the prices towards the previous monthly top near 0.6470.

Alternatively, a convergence of the aforementioned channel’s bottom and a downward sloping support line from May 12 constitute the 0.5890 level as a crucial downside support for the NZDUSD bears to watch during the pair’s further declines. Also acting as an extra check for sellers is the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the pair’s April-August moves, near 0.5870. If at all the Kiwi pair breaks the 0.5870 support, the odds of its south-run towards the 78.6% FE level surrounding the 0.5700 threshold can’t be ruled out.

Overall, NZDUSD remains in a bearish trend ahead of the key FOMC meeting, as well as today’s speech from RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr.

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