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Denis Sergienko • 2022-09-13

EURUSD bulls struggle to retake control ahead of US inflation

EURUSD bulls struggle to retake control ahead of US inflation

On Monday, EURUSD rose past 200-SMA for the first time in a month and formed a bullish channel. However, the following pullback from 1.0197 flirts with the stated channel’s lower line near 1.0130. Following that, the 1.0100 threshold comprising the 200-SMA, could test the pair bears ahead of the key US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August. Hence, a recovery towards 1.0200 can’t be ruled out. However, the aforementioned channel’s top and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of August-September downside, respectively around 1.0225 and 1.0265, could challenge the pair’s further advances, if not, then a run-up towards the previous monthly peak surrounding 1.0370 could appear on the chart.

Meanwhile, a downside break of the 1.0100 key SMA level could quickly drag EURUSD prices towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the stated moves, close to 1.0055. Following that, the 1.0000 parity level and the 0.9910 may entertain the bears before redirecting them to the yearly low marked in the last week around 0.9860.

Overall, EURUSD regains its place on the buyer’s radar but the uptrend remains doubtful as strong US inflation may recall the US dollar bulls.

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