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Denis Sergienko • 2022-09-20

EURUSD bears await Fed’s decision to refresh yearly low

EURUSD bears await Fed’s decision to refresh yearly low

EURUSD gyrates between the 50-DMA and a two-month-old support line surrounding the yearly bottom flashed last week. The steady RSI and bearish MACD signals, however, keep the sellers hopeful as markets await the Fed. That said, a downside break of the aforementioned support line, around 0.9850 by the press time may avail an intermediate halt near the 0.9800 threshold before directing the quote towards the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late June to early August moves, near 0.9730. It’s worth noting that the pair’s downside past 0.9730 will make it vulnerable to testing the early 2001 top near 0.9600.

Alternatively, recovery moves beyond the 50-DMA hurdle, around 1.0100, needs validation from the monthly high near 1.0200 to convince the EURUSD buyers. Following that, a run-up towards the previous monthly high surrounding 1.0370 can’t be ruled out. In a case where the currency pair rises past 1.0370, its run-up towards the late June swing high of 1.0615 can’t be ruled out.

Overall, EURUSD remains on the bear’s radar but awaits the FOMC to trigger the fresh south-run.

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