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Denis Sergienko • 2022-11-22

AUDUSD bulls are at test, 0.6535 is the key

AUDUSD bulls are at test, 0.6535 is the key

AUDUSD remains pressured after printing the first negative week in five. The bearish bias recently got acceptance from the 50-SMA breakdown. However, a 13-day-old support line near 0.6560 and the 100-SMA level surrounding 0.6535 challenge the bears of late. Should the quote drops below the key moving average, the odds of witnessing a gradual south-run towards a five-week-old ascending support line and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the September-October downturn, near 0.6350, could act as the last defense before directing sellers towards the yearly low near 0.6170.

Meanwhile, the 50-SMA and a one-week-old descending trend line guard recovery moves of the AUDUSD pair around 0.6655 and 0.6700 respectively. Even if the Aussie pair buyers manage to cross the immediate hurdles, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and the monthly top, close to 0.6760 and 0.6800 in that order, will act as additional upside filters to challenge the upside momentum. Following that, a run-up towards the top marked in September around 0.6920 and the 0.7000 threshold can’t be ruled out.

Overall, AUDUSD bulls ran out of steam in the last week and further downside is on the cards.

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