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Denis Sergienko • 2022-10-18

AUDUSD braces for recovery near YTD low, 0.6365 is crucial

AUDUSD braces for recovery near YTD low, 0.6365 is crucial

AUDUSD rebounds inside a three-week-old falling wedge bullish chart formation and it becomes more important for the short-term buyer’s return as the quote is around the 2.5-year low. It should, however, be noted that only an upside break of 0.6290 hurdle won’t be enough to convince bulls as a horizontal area surrounding 0.6345-65 appears a tough nut to crack for them before retaking control. Also asking as the upside filter is another horizontal zone from September 26, close to 0.6540, as well as the 200-SMA near 0.6580.

Meanwhile, pullback moves remain elusive beyond the stated wedge’s support, near 0.6180 by the press time, breaking which the yearly low near 0.6170 could act as the validation point for the AUDUSD pair’s further weakness. During the pair’s weakness past 0.6170, the 0.6000 psychological magnet will be on the bear’s radar ahead of April 2020 low near 0.5980.

Overall, AUDUSD bears are running out of steam and can trigger a short-term rebound. It’s worth noting, however, that the bulls have a long and bumpy way to ride.

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