Gold has ended a two-day drop by bouncing off its 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) within a symmetrical triangle pattern that's been forming for seven weeks. This bounce supports the idea that the Fed might cut rates, together with the positive MACD signals and the trend-favorable RSI line. The key levels to watch are the triangle's range of $2,475 to $2,393 and the 50-day EMA support at $2,391.
If gold moves past $2,475, it could test an upward resistance line from early April, reaching around $2,498. After that, $2,500 will be an additional hurdle for the metal before potentially rising to $2,522 and $2,562, which are based on 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Extensions of gold's moves from March to July.
If gold falls below $2,391, it might drop to the late July low of about $2,353 and then to $2,350. There's also a strong support region between $2,293 and $2,285 from late April to June, which if broken, could push gold towards $2,200.
Overall, gold is performing well due to positive technical indicators and concerns about possible US Fed rate cuts, supported by recent US inflation data.
