GBPUSD fades upside momentum after reversing from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of January-September downside, despite the latest rebound. A pullback in the RSI and receding strength of the bullish MACD signals also backs the broad retreat in prices. However, a convergence of the 200-DMA and three-month-old ascending trend line, near 1.2080, challenges the pair sellers, a break of which could quickly drag the quote to 1.1760-40 support area comprising multiple levels marked since mid-July. It’s worth noting that the Cable pair’s failure to bounce off 1.1740, the early October swing high near 1.1500 could lure the bears.
On the flip side, GBPUSD recovery could aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden ratio, around 1.2440. That said, August month’s high of near 1.2295 and the 1.2300 round figure acts as the immediate resistance to probe the buyers. In a case where the Cable rises past the 1.2440 hurdle, an upward-sloping resistance line from late October, close to 1.2660, will be in focus. Also acting as the upside hurdle is May’s peak surrounding 1.2665. Hence, 1.2660-65 is the key block for the Cable buyers.
Overall, GBPUSD is likely to recall bears and even if it doesn’t at the moment, the recovery remains elusive below 1.2665.
