EURUSD began the month of March on a positive note by crossing a one-month-old descending trend line, as well as poking the 1.0690 resistance confluence including the 200-EMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the January-February upside. The recovery also justified bullish MACD signals. However, the RSI (14) retreated from the overbought territory and triggered the quote’s pullback from the key upside hurdle. Even if the pair crosses the 1.0690 immediate resistance, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since January-end, around 1.0788-805, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls. It’s worth noting that the quote’s successful run-up beyond 1.0805 won’t hesitate to challenge January’s high of near 1.0930.
Meanwhile, pullback moves could aim for the previous resistance line from early February, close to 1.0585. Following that, lows marked during the previous month and January, near 1.0530 and 1.0480 in that order, could lure the EURUSD bears. Should the pair remains bearish past 1.0480, bottoms marked in late November around 1.0290 and 1.0220 may act as the last stops for the sellers before highlighting the parity level of 1.0000.
Overall, EURUSD is likely to grind higher for the short term but the medium-term bearish trend remains intact.
