EURUSD: Rising wedge signals bullish exhaustion, focus on German inflation, US GDP
EURUSD pares its biggest daily loss in 11 weeks early Thursday. In doing so, it's bouncing back from a key support level and the 50-Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
EURUSD bulls take a breather…
This rebound suggests that the Euro might be running out of steam before important economic data is released. Among them, the first reading of Germany’s inflation for August and the US Q2 GDP’s revision gain the attention of intraday traders. That said, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators suggest a potential bullish trend, but confirmation is needed.
Key technical levels to watch…
The EURUSD buyers need validation from a one-week-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.1150 and the US/German data to keep the reins. Following that, the yearly high marked earlier in the week around 1.1200 will lure the Euro bulls. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.1200, the aforementioned wedge’s top line of near 1.1250 and the previous yearly top of 1.1275 will act as the final defenses of the sellers.
On the contrary, EURUSD sellers must wait for a clear downside break of 1.1100 to confirm the bearish chart formation and aim for further declines. In that case, a convergence of the 200-EMA and an ascending trend line from early June, the previous resistance near 1.0980, will be in the spotlight. Should the pair remain bearish past 1.0980, the odds of witnessing further downward trajectory toward the rising wedge’s theoretical target of 1.0680 can’t be ruled out.
What next?
In summary, the EURUSD is currently on a positive track, but further gains may depend on upcoming economic data and potential pullbacks.
