AUDUSD remains firmer inside an 11-week-old trading range, poking the 100-DMA hurdle of 0.6790 of late. Apart from the 100-DMA, the stated range’s top line, close to 0.6810, also challenges the Aussie pair buyers. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI conditions approach the overbought territory and hence the 0.6810 hurdle appears crucial for bulls to cross to keep the reins. Following that, a run-up towards 0.6870 and the mid-February swing high near 0.7030 can’t be ruled out. In a case where the quote rises past 0.7030, the yearly high marked in February near 0.7160 may be expected.
Meanwhile, pullback moves may initially aim for the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 0.6665, ahead of challenging the stated trading range’s bottom of surrounding 0.6560. Also acting as a downside filter is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement near 0.6550, known as the golden Fibonacci ratio. If at all the AUDUSD bears occupy the driver’s seat past 0.6550, the sellers may carve out a gradual fall towards the November 2022 bottom of near 0.6270 and then to the late 2022 low of around 0.6170.
To sum up, AUDUSD buyers are likely to keep the reins but a pullback can’t be ruled out.
